Scenario Building

3rd workshop, 21 October 2016, Brussels

The workshop was dedicated to the creation of future scenarios for the future of mobility in Europe 2030. Four preliminary scenarios were identified. They were structured around two main dimensions: Policy and legislative framework & Lifestyle and user behaviour.

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Event structure

The workshop was held in Brussels on 21st of October 2017 in Brussels.

The workshop developed along:

  • Opening remarks by Ioana Adamescu, EC DG R&I;
  • Introductory presentation of the MAMCA methodology
  • An overview of  the first project results: future societal trends shaping mobility and the portfolio of innovative solutions.
  • Two Interactive sessions to validate, assess the impacts of the trends on the future mobility system in the context of a particular scenario and match the technological and organisational solutions with the scenarios.
  • Summary of group work and first conclusions
  • Legal assessment of scenarios by Osborne Clarke

Interactive session 1

The first interactive session aimed at the validation of trends connecting to a certain scenario. Participants worked in small groups at the scenario stations to further elaborate on the impacts of the trends on the future mobility system in the context of the particular scenario. Main questions were:

  • Is this scenario credible and probable?
  • Are there elements that are not probable until 2030 (it is only 15 years from now)?
  • Are there further trends missing?
  • Which trends of this scenario have the greatest impact on mobility demand?

Interactive session 2

 

The second interactive session aimed at the matching of technological and organisational solutions to the scenarios and their trends. Participants, still grouped to the scenarios, could select the most effective solutions from their point of view and pin them to the matching trend category (policy, environment, society, technology or economy). Main questions were:

  • What are the most important technological, organisational or policy-related solutions that can respond to the trends in this scenario?
  • What are the barriers of the deployment of a particular solution concerning the trends in the scenarios?

Conclusion

The task will now be to validate the work done on scenario trends and solutions so far and to extent and revise it where necessary. Then, in a very structured methodological approach through the multi-actor-multi-criteria analysis (MAMCA), these scenarios will be ranked. The outcome of this process will directly feed into the final comprehensive vision and the action plan that details how to implement this vision.

Participants

32 participants were involved in the activities of the workshop, representing the various stakeholders’ groups.

Participants

32 participants were involved in the activities of the workshop, representing the various stakeholders’ groups.

Photogallery

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